Midterms: Biggest blue wave since 2008?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 07:07 UTCCloses 1 Feb 2027 (in 3 mo)
Chance of “Yes”
Outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Yes | 90% | ▲ 19.0 pts |
No | 10% | — |
How this market resolves
If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 250 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 56 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Midterms: Biggest blue wave since 2008”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price “Yes” at 90% (as of 5 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Feb 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.