When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 10:42 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 2 mo)
Most likely: Before 2027
All outcomes (3)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Before 2027 | 40% | ▲ 1.0 pts |
Before November | 16% | ▲ 5.0 pts |
Before September | 2% | — |
How this market resolves
If the FDA announces Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Before 2027 as the most likely outcome at 40% (as of 19 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
More tech & ai markets
- KalshiOpenAI market share this week99%Above 15.1%
- KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?48%Claude
- KalshiDeepSeek market share this week99%Above 21.7%
- KalshiGoogle market share this week99%Above 16.2%
- KalshiOpen vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 18, 202699%Above 43.6%
- PolymarketNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?98%December 31
Latest tech & ai news
Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.