Will a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina this year?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 16:12 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 2 mo)
Chance of “Yes”
Outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Yes | 2% | — |
No | 98% | — |
How this market resolves
If a hurricane makes landfall in North Carolina during the 2026 hurricane season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina this year”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price “Yes” at 2% (as of 20 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
More climate & weather markets
- KalshiWhere will it rain on Oct 20, 2026?99%Miami
- KalshiHighest temperature in New York City on Oct 20, 2026?63%67° to 68°
- KalshiWhere will it rain on Oct 21, 2026?90%Los Angeles
- KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on Oct 20, 2026?70%85° to 86°
- KalshiHighest temperature in Chicago on Oct 20, 2026?51%67° to 68°
- KalshiHighest temperature in Dallas on Oct 20, 2026?63%79° to 80°
Latest climate & weather news
- ‘For Panama, it is life or death’: how drought is choking the canal that feeds a nation20 Oct 2026
- Do not be distracted by global crises. Nature cannot wait for a better year – we must act now | Steven Guilbeault20 Oct 2026
- Melting Ron DeSantis statue unveiled to call out his inaction on climate crisis19 Oct 2026
- Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on October 19? Trading Odds & Predictions (Oct. 19, 2026)19 Oct 2026
Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.