Total space launches in November
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 07:08 UTCCloses 2 Dec 2026 (in 27 days)
Most likely: Above 9
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Above 9 | 94% | ▲ 8.0 pts |
Above 10 | 64% | ▲ 5.0 pts |
Above 11 | 44% | — |
Above 12 | 29% | — |
Above 13 | 8% | — |
Above 14 | 4% | — |
Above 20 | 4% | — |
Above 15 | 2% | — |
How this market resolves
If all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have Above 9 launches in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Total space launches in November”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Above 9 as the most likely outcome at 94% (as of 5 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 2 Dec 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.