Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 10:42 UTCCloses 20 Jan 2029 (in 27 mo)
Most likely: Before Jan 20, 2029
All outcomes (6)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Before Jan 20, 2029 | 92% | — |
Before Jan 1, 2028 | 74% | ▲ 6.0 pts |
Before Jul 1, 2027 | 60% | — |
Before Oct 1, 2027 | 57% | — |
Before Apr 1, 2027 | 50% | — |
Before Jan 1, 2027 | 8% | — |
How this market resolves
If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will marijuana be rescheduled”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Before Jan 20, 2029 as the most likely outcome at 92% (as of 19 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 20 Jan 2029. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
More elections markets
- PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election77%Flávio Bolsonaro
- PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?48%Gadi Eizenkot
- PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through...?96%October 22
- KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?90%Democratic Party
- KalshiWhat will Trump say this week?1%Cuba / Cuban
- Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?62%Democrats sweep
Latest elections news
- Inside the quiet money pullback — for both parties — in Georgia’s Senate race19 Oct 2026
- Texas election markets draw big money as lawmakers weigh oversight19 Oct 2026
- Polymarket bets favor Eisenkot over Netanyahu ahead of Israeli election19 Oct 2026
- Democrats’ Tejano star sings to swing South Texas18 Oct 2026
Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.