Open source token share Nov 23–29 (OpenRouter)
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 15:48 UTCCloses 30 Nov 2026 (in 34 days)
Most likely: Above 78%
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Above 78% | 89% | ▲ 10.0 pts |
Above 84% | 87% | — |
Above 76% | 84% | ▼ 1.0 pts |
Above 74% | 79% | ▼ 9.0 pts |
Above 88% | 77% | ▲ 71.0 pts |
Above 70% | 75% | ▲ 6.0 pts |
Above 60% | 64% | ▼ 22.0 pts |
Above 72% | 63% | ▼ 23.0 pts |
How this market resolves
If Open-weight models scores above 78% on OpenRouter Open / Closed weekly token-share chart week of Nov 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Open source token share Nov 23–29 (OpenRouter)”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Above 78% as the most likely outcome at 89% (as of 27 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 30 Nov 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.