Will the American Affordability and Jobs Act become law?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 07:08 UTCCloses 1 Mar 2027 (in 4 mo)
Most likely: Before Mar 1, 2027
All outcomes (2)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Before Mar 1, 2027 | 60% | ▲ 14.0 pts |
Before Jan 1, 2027 | 37% | ▲ 9.0 pts |
How this market resolves
If the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms has become law after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will the American Affordability and Jobs Act become law”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Before Mar 1, 2027 as the most likely outcome at 60% (as of 5 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Mar 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.