Where will it rain on Oct 17, 2026?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 22:42 UTCCloses 18 Oct 2026 (in 6 h)
Most likely: New York City
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
New York City | 99% | ▲ 48.0 pts |
Miami | 99% | ▲ 1.0 pts |
Philadelphia | 99% | ▲ 14.0 pts |
Washington DC | 99% | ▲ 12.0 pts |
Seattle | 99% | ▲ 23.0 pts |
Trenton | 99% | ▲ 27.0 pts |
Lexington | 99% | ▲ 65.0 pts |
Providence | 99% | ▲ 20.0 pts |
How this market resolves
If the total precipitation at CLINYC in New York City in Oct 17, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Where will it rain on Oct 17, 2026”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price New York City as the most likely outcome at 99% (as of 18 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 18 Oct 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
More climate & weather markets
- KalshiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 17, 2026?89%90° to 91°
- KalshiHighest temperature in New York City on Oct 17, 2026?88%62° to 63°
- KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on Oct 17, 2026?99%90° to 91°
- KalshiWhere will it rain this weekend (Oct 17 - Oct 18)?99%New York City
- KalshiWhere will it rain on Oct 18, 2026?91%Miami
- KalshiHighest temperature in Philadelphia on Oct 17, 2026?99%62° to 63°
Latest climate & weather news
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on October 19?17 Oct 2026
- Hiding in plane sight: the invisible turbulence that can strike out of a clear blue sky17 Oct 2026
- Almost all NSW homes destroyed in black summer bushfires were within 100 metres of flammable vegetation17 Oct 2026
- Lowest temperature in Madrid on October 18? Trading Odds & Predictions (Oct. 18, 2026)17 Oct 2026
Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.