Will Trump talk to Lula before November?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 15:48 UTCCloses 1 Nov 2026 (in 5 days)
Chance of “Yes”
Outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Yes | 42% | ▼ 28.0 pts |
No | 58% | — |
How this market resolves
If Donald Trump and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva meet (including phone calls) after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will Trump talk to Lula before November”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price “Yes” at 42% (as of 27 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Nov 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
More elections markets
- PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?61%Gadi Eizenkot
- Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?64%Democrats sweep
- KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?91%Democratic Party
- PolymarketIsraeli Legislative Election Winner73%Yashar
- PolymarketBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms66%Democrats Sweep
- KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. Senate?65%Democratic Party
Latest elections news
Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.