Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 10:42 UTCCloses 31 Dec 2026 (in 2 mo)
Most likely: Adriana Lima
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Adriana Lima | 99% | ▲ 9.0 pts |
Joan Smalls | 99% | — |
Candice Swanepoel | 99% | — |
Gigi Hadid | 99% | — |
Ashley Graham | 99% | — |
Barbara Palvin | 99% | — |
Alessandra Ambrosio | 99% | — |
Precious Lee | 99% | ▲ 3.0 pts |
How this market resolves
If Adriana Lima is an official runway model at the Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Adriana Lima as the most likely outcome at 99% (as of 19 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 31 Dec 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.