Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 03:15 UTCCloses 7 Nov 2026 (in 7 days)
Most likely: Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 8.5
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 77% | — |
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 74% | — |
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 21.5 | 59% | — |
Completed Match | 58% | — |
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 22.5 | 53% | — |
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 Winner | 50% | — |
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 49% | — |
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 49% | — |
How this market resolves
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Carlos Alcaraz in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 8.5 as the most likely outcome at 77% (as of 31 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 7 Nov 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.