Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 20:37 UTCCloses 3 Jun 2026 (closing)
Most likely: Karen Bass
All outcomes (6)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Karen Bass | 55% | ▲ 5.5 pts |
Nithya Raman | 45% | ▼ 5.5 pts |
Other | — | — |
Candidate H | — | — |
Candidate I | — | — |
Candidate J | — | — |
How this market resolves
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Los Angeles Mayoral Election”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price Karen Bass as the most likely outcome at 55% (as of 22 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 3 Jun 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.