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Polymarket

MLS: 2026 Most Valuable Player

Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 15:48 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 2 mo)

Most likely: Lionel Messi

95%▲ 1.6 pts in 24h
Price over the last 7 days, in %
95%93%91%

All outcomes (8)

OutcomeChance24h
Lionel Messi
95%▲ 1.6 pts
Thomas Müller
3%▼ 0.4 pts
Petar Musa
2%▲ 1.4 pts
Luis Suárez
1%▲ 0.4 pts
Carles Gil
<1%▲ 0.1 pts
Son Heung-min
<1%—
Sergio Busquets
<1%—
Martin Ojeda
<1%—

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Landon Donovan Most Valuable Player. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “MLS: 2026 Most Valuable Player”?

On Polymarket, traders currently price Lionel Messi as the most likely outcome at 95% (as of 27 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.