Polymarket

NZ Election: Opportunity Party # of seats?

Q: What are the odds for “NZ Election: Opportunity Party # of seats”?

On Polymarket, traders currently price 7-9 as the most likely outcome at 57% (as of 31 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

Q: What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

Q: When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 8 Nov 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Q: Where can I trade it?

On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 03:16 UTCCloses 8 Nov 2026 (in 8 days)

Most likely: 7-9

57%

Price over the last 7 days, in %

All outcomes (5)

Outcome	Chance	24h
7-9	57%	—
4-6	45%	▲ 23.0 pts
<4	40%	▲ 9.0 pts
13+	39%	▲ 7.5 pts
10-12	28%	▲ 11.0 pts

How this market resolves

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Opportunity Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Opportunity Party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “NZ Election: Opportunity Party # of seats”?

On Polymarket, traders currently price 7-9 as the most likely outcome at 57% (as of 31 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 8 Nov 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

More elections markets

Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.