Pro Football: Sam Darnold 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 07:07 UTCCloses 27 Jan 2027 (in 3 mo)
Most likely: 17.5+ passing TDs
All outcomes (5)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
17.5+ passing TDs | 70% | ▼ 7.0 pts |
20.5+ passing TDs | 54% | ▼ 11.0 pts |
23.5+ passing TDs | 13% | ▼ 26.0 pts |
26.5+ passing TDs | 10% | ▼ 12.5 pts |
29.5+ passing TDs | 5% | ▼ 7.4 pts |
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Pro Football: Sam Darnold 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price 17.5+ passing TDs as the most likely outcome at 70% (as of 5 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 27 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.