Taraba, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 21:27 UTCCloses 7 Feb 2027 (in 3 mo)
Most likely: Agbu Kefas
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Agbu Kefas | 73% | ▼ 3.5 pts |
Candidate A | 50% | — |
Candidate B | 50% | — |
Candidate C | 50% | — |
Candidate D | 50% | — |
Candidate E | 50% | — |
Candidate F | 50% | — |
Candidate G | 50% | — |
How this market resolves
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Taraba State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Taraba, Nigeria Governor Election Winner”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price Agbu Kefas as the most likely outcome at 73% (as of 1 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 7 Feb 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.