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Polymarket

Who will Trump speak to by November 30?

Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 03:16 UTCCloses 1 Dec 2026 (in 31 days)

Most likely: Xi Jinping

94%
Price over the last 7 days, in %
94%91%88%

All outcomes (8)

OutcomeChance24h
Xi Jinping
94%—
Lula da Silva
85%—
Vladimir Putin
83%—
Elon Musk
82%—
Mark Carney
74%—
Ursula von der Leyen
65%—
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
52%—
Maria Corina Machado
52%—

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “Who will Trump speak to by November 30”?

On Polymarket, traders currently price Xi Jinping as the most likely outcome at 94% (as of 31 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 1 Dec 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

More elections markets

Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.

Who will Trump speak to by November 30 odds: Xi Jinping 94% on Polymarket