Kalshi

Will Newsom call a California special session?

Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 14:06 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 2 mo)

Chance of “Yes”

17%

Price over the last 7 days, in %

Outcomes

Outcome	Chance	24h
Yes	17%	—
No	83%	—

How this market resolves

If Gavin Newsom calls a new special session of the California Legislature before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “Will Newsom call a California special session”?

On Kalshi, traders currently price “Yes” at 17% (as of 30 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

More elections markets

Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.