Kalshi

Will a court block the FCC's ABC license review in 2026?

Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 14:05 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 2 mo)

Chance of “Yes”

67%▼ 7.0 pts in 24h

Price over the last 7 days, in %

Outcomes

Outcome	Chance	24h
Yes	67%	▼ 7.0 pts
No	33%	—

How this market resolves

If any federal court issues a preliminary or permanent injunction, vacatur, or stay halting all or part of the FCC's early ABC license renewal proceedings in ABC v. FCC, No. 1:26-cv-02902 (D.D.C.), any appeal, or any federal challenge to the April 2026 early renewal order before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “Will a court block the FCC's ABC license review in 2026”?

On Kalshi, traders currently price “Yes” at 67% (as of 30 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.