Kalshi

What will Kevin Warsh say during his December press conference?

Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 14:06 UTCCloses 10 Dec 2026 (in 41 days)

Most likely: Central Bank

85%▲ 6.0 pts in 24h

Price over the last 7 days, in %

All outcomes (8)

Outcome	Chance	24h
Central Bank	85%	▲ 6.0 pts
Productivity	82%	▲ 38.0 pts
Projection	76%	—
Shock	76%	—
Balance Sheet	76%	▲ 16.0 pts
Uncertainty	75%	▲ 35.0 pts
AI / Artificial Intelligence	71%	—
Independent / Independence	71%	—

How this market resolves

If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Central Bank at his Dec 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “What will Kevin Warsh say during his December press conference”?

On Kalshi, traders currently price Central Bank as the most likely outcome at 85% (as of 30 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 10 Dec 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.