Kalshi

Will nonstop U.S.–Lebanon passenger flights resume?

Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 14:41 UTCCloses 1 Apr 2027 (in 5 mo)

Most likely: Before Apr 1, 2027

24%

Price over the last 7 days, in %

All outcomes (2)

Outcome	Chance	24h
Before Apr 1, 2027	24%	—
Before Jan 1, 2027	7%	—

How this market resolves

If a publicly scheduled commercial passenger flight carrying revenue passengers completes a nonstop trip between an airport in the United States and an airport in Lebanon after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “Will nonstop U.S.–Lebanon passenger flights resume”?

On Kalshi, traders currently price Before Apr 1, 2027 as the most likely outcome at 24% (as of 29 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 1 Apr 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

More elections markets

Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.