New York City Marathon Men's Open Division Winner
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 21:58 UTCCloses 16 Nov 2026 (in 25 days)
Most likely: Benson Kipruto
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Benson Kipruto | 30% | ▲ 1.0 pts |
Andreas Almgren | 24% | ▼ 2.0 pts |
Zouhair Talbi | 17% | ▼ 11.0 pts |
Geoffrey Kamworor | 13% | — |
Deresa Geleta | 6% | ▼ 7.0 pts |
Conner Mantz | 5% | ▼ 40.0 pts |
Abdi Nageeye | 4% | — |
Iliass Aouani | 4% | — |
How this market resolves
If Benson Kipruto wins the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon Men's Open Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “New York City Marathon Men's Open Division Winner”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Benson Kipruto as the most likely outcome at 30% (as of 22 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 16 Nov 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.