MercadoLibre items sold in Q3 2026
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 07:45 UTCCloses 2 Mar 2027 (in 4 mo)
Most likely: Above 700 million
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Above 700 million | 99% | — |
Above 720 million | 99% | — |
Above 740 million | 99% | — |
Above 760 million | 99% | — |
Above 780 million | 99% | — |
Above 800 million | 97% | — |
Above 820 million | 94% | — |
Above 840 million | 73% | ▼ 11.0 pts |
How this market resolves
If MercadoLibre, Inc. reports Above 700000000 items sold in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “MercadoLibre items sold in Q3 2026”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Above 700 million as the most likely outcome at 99% (as of 3 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 2 Mar 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.