How many #1 songs in 2026?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 14:05 UTCCloses 27 Dec 2026 (in 58 days)
Most likely: More than 13
All outcomes (4)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
More than 13 | 75% | ▼ 4.0 pts |
More than 14 | 62% | — |
More than 15 | 37% | — |
More than 16 | 2% | — |
How this market resolves
If there are above 13 unique #1 songs on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “How many #1 songs in 2026”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price More than 13 as the most likely outcome at 75% (as of 30 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 27 Dec 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.