Anthropic IPO Date
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 15:48 UTCCloses 1 Dec 2026 (in 35 days)
Most likely: November 19
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
November 19 | 25% | — |
November 20 | 17% | — |
November 18 | 12% | — |
No IPO by November 30, 2026 | 11% | — |
November 27 | 10% | — |
November 16 | 9% | — |
November 17 | 5% | — |
November 25 | 5% | — |
How this market resolves
This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that Anthropic launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO). An IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange. If no IPO occurs by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by November 30, 2026". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Anthropic IPO Date”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price November 19 as the most likely outcome at 25% (as of 27 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Dec 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.