Polymarket

Oregon Senate Election: Turnout

Q: What are the odds for “Oregon Senate Election: Turnout”?

On Polymarket, traders currently price 2M-2.1M as the most likely outcome at 32% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

Q: What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

Q: When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 4 Nov 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Q: Where can I trade it?

On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 23:27 UTCCloses 4 Nov 2026 (in 11 days)

Most likely: 2M-2.1M

32%

Price over the last 7 days, in %

All outcomes (8)

Outcome	Chance	24h
2M-2.1M	32%	—
1.9M-2M	27%	▼ 1.2 pts
2.2M+	22%	▲ 6.0 pts
2.1M-2.2M	13%	▲ 1.0 pts
<1.5M	4%	▲ 0.1 pts
1.8M-1.9M	2%	—
1.5M-1.6M	<1%	▲ 0.4 pts
1.6M-1.7M	<1%	▲ 0.3 pts

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “Oregon Senate Election: Turnout”?

On Polymarket, traders currently price 2M-2.1M as the most likely outcome at 32% (as of 24 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 4 Nov 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.