Serbian presidential election called by...?
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 12:24 UTCCloses 1 Nov 2026 (in 6 days)
Most likely: November 30
All outcomes (2)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
November 30 | 75% | ▼ 2.4 pts |
October 31 | 18% | ▼ 19.0 pts |
How this market resolves
On September 27, 2026, Aleksandar Vučić resigned as President of Serbia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Serbian presidential election is called by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An election is called when it has been declared under the relevant Serbian electoral, legal, or constitutional procedures, to take place on a specific date, and the date of the election has been publicly announced. A statement of intention to call the election will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Serbia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Serbian presidential election called by...”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price November 30 as the most likely outcome at 75% (as of 26 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Nov 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.