Total crypto hack value in 2026?
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 12:23 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 2 mo)
Most likely: >$2.5B
All outcomes (4)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
>$2.5B | 98% | — |
>$3B | 54% | ▼ 5.0 pts |
>$3.5B | 10% | — |
>$4B | 5% | — |
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total crypto hack value in 2026 exceeds the amount specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is DefiLlama, specifically the hacks page available at: https://defillama.com/hacks The total value will be calculated as the sum of all “Amount lost” entries for incidents dated in 2026 If the data is revised before the threshold is hit, the latest numbers will be used. If the data becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using other credible crypto data sources.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Total crypto hack value in 2026”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price >$2.5B as the most likely outcome at 98% (as of 26 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.