Polymarket

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 03:13 UTCCloses 31 Dec 2026 (in 2 mo)

Chance of “Yes”

4%▼ 1.5 pts in 24h

Price over the last 7 days, in %

Outcomes

Outcome	Chance	24h
Yes	4%	▼ 1.5 pts
No	96%	—

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the United Arab Emirates (UAE) or Qatar formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with the other by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from either respective government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026”?

On Polymarket, traders currently price “Yes” at 4% (as of 31 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 31 Dec 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.