Kalshi

When will AOC announce her presidential candidacy?

Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 11:40 UTCCloses 1 Oct 2027 (in 11 mo)

Most likely: Before Oct 1, 2027

70%

Price over the last 7 days, in %

All outcomes (4)

Outcome	Chance	24h
Before Oct 1, 2027	70%	—
Before Jul 1, 2027	46%	—
Before Apr 1, 2027	29%	—
Before Jan 1, 2027	13%	—

How this market resolves

If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Oct 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “When will AOC announce her presidential candidacy”?

On Kalshi, traders currently price Before Oct 1, 2027 as the most likely outcome at 70% (as of 28 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 1 Oct 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

More elections markets

Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.