New Zealand rate decision in December
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 14:06 UTCCloses 9 Dec 2026 (in 39 days)
Most likely: Hike 1-25bps
All outcomes (5)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Hike 1-25bps | 75% | ▲ 5.0 pts |
Maintain current rate | 24% | ▲ 1.0 pts |
Hike more than 25bps | 4% | — |
Cut more than 25bps | 1% | — |
Cut 1-25bps | 1% | — |
How this market resolves
If the Reserve Bank of New Zealand takes the action of hike 1-25bps at its December Monetary Policy Review meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “New Zealand rate decision in December”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Hike 1-25bps as the most likely outcome at 75% (as of 30 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 9 Dec 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.