Midterms: which issue matters most to voters?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 11:41 UTCCloses 6 Nov 2026 (in 9 days)
Most likely: Economy and cost of living
All outcomes (7)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Economy and cost of living | 99% | — |
Democracy | 9% | — |
Iran war and foreign policy | 7% | — |
Health care | 2% | — |
Immigration | 1% | — |
Abortion | 1% | — |
Crime | 1% | — |
How this market resolves
If the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll maps to Economy and cost of living, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Midterms: which issue matters most to voters”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Economy and cost of living as the most likely outcome at 99% (as of 28 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 6 Nov 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.