December 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 14:05 UTCCloses 9 Dec 2026 (in 40 days)
Most likely: Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0
All outcomes (6)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0 | 55% | ▲ 8.0 pts |
Rate: No change, Dissents: >0 | 21% | ▲ 11.0 pts |
Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: >0 | 21% | ▼ 6.0 pts |
Rate: No change, Dissents: 0 | 8% | — |
Rate: 25bp cut, Dissents: >0 | 2% | — |
Rate: 25bp cut, Dissents: 0 | 1% | — |
How this market resolves
If ALL of the following occur for Dec 2026: Federal Funds Rate Decision: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “December 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0 as the most likely outcome at 55% (as of 30 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 9 Dec 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.