Who will dissent at the December Fed meeting?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 14:06 UTCCloses 9 Dec 2026 (in 40 days)
Most likely: Christopher Waller
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Christopher Waller | 18% | — |
Lisa Cook | 15% | ▲ 2.0 pts |
Michelle Bowman | 14% | — |
Beth Hammack | 14% | — |
Neel Kashkari | 13% | — |
Lorie Logan | 12% | ▲ 1.0 pts |
Michael Barr | 8% | — |
Anna Paulson | 8% | — |
How this market resolves
If Christopher Waller formally dissented at the December 2026 FOMC meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Who will dissent at the December Fed meeting”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Christopher Waller as the most likely outcome at 18% (as of 30 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 9 Dec 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.