Kalshi

Franklin Arias: Debut Date

Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 11:41 UTCCloses 1 Nov 2028 (in 25 mo)

Most likely: Before Nov 1, 2028

97%

Price over the last 7 days, in %

All outcomes (7)

Outcome	Chance	24h
Before Nov 1, 2028	97%	—
Before Aug 1, 2028	94%	—
Before May 1, 2028	85%	—
Before Nov 1, 2027	82%	—
Before Aug 1, 2027	74%	—
Before May 1, 2027	51%	—
Before Nov 1, 2026	5%	—

How this market resolves

If Franklin Arias plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before Nov 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “Franklin Arias: Debut Date”?

On Kalshi, traders currently price Before Nov 1, 2028 as the most likely outcome at 97% (as of 28 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 1 Nov 2028. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.