Open source token share Oct 26–Nov 1 (OpenRouter)
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 22:22 UTCCloses 2 Nov 2026 (in 5 days)
Most likely: Above 70.7%
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Above 70.7% | 88% | — |
Above 69.2% | 87% | — |
Above 71.3% | 87% | — |
Above 71.8% | 87% | — |
Above 72.3% | 50% | — |
Above 72.7% | 50% | — |
Above 73.2% | 50% | — |
Above 73.9% | 50% | — |
How this market resolves
If Open-weight models scores above 70.7% on OpenRouter Open / Closed weekly token-share chart week of Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Open source token share Oct 26–Nov 1 (OpenRouter)”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Above 70.7% as the most likely outcome at 88% (as of 28 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 2 Nov 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.