Kalshi

Will 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?

Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 04:23 UTCCloses 11 Dec 2026 (in 43 days)

Most likely: On Dec 10, 2026

99%

Price over the last 7 days, in %

All outcomes (4)

Outcome	Chance	24h
On Dec 10, 2026	99%	—
On Nov 13, 2026	88%	▼ 2.0 pts
On Mar 13, 2027	73%	—
On Nov 19, 2027	1%	—

How this market resolves

If, as of 11:59 PM ET on Dec 10, 2026, federal law treats a hemp-derived beverage intended for human ingestion containing 3 milligrams or more of Total THC per Container as lawful hemp excluded from the Controlled Substances Act definition of marihuana rather than as a Schedule I controlled substance, then the market resolves to Yes.

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “Will 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law”?

On Kalshi, traders currently price On Dec 10, 2026 as the most likely outcome at 99% (as of 29 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 11 Dec 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.