Kalshi

Who will receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026?

Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 04:23 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2027 (in 2 mo)

Most likely: Reid Wiseman

18%

Price over the last 7 days, in %

All outcomes (8)

Outcome	Chance	24h
Reid Wiseman	18%	—
Lee Greenwood	17%	—
Sean Hannity	16%	—
Dana White	16%	—
Elon Musk	14%	—
Kid Rock	13%	—
Sylvester Stallone	13%	▼ 2.0 pts
Bill Belichick	7%	—

How this market resolves

If Reid Wiseman is awarded the Presidential Medal of Freedom before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “Who will receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026”?

On Kalshi, traders currently price Reid Wiseman as the most likely outcome at 18% (as of 29 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

More elections markets

Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.