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Polymarket

"Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office

Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 04:23 UTCCloses 1 Nov 2026 (in 3 days)

Most likely: 10m-12m

39%▲ 6.0 pts in 24h
Price over the last 7 days, in %
53%39%24%

All outcomes (6)

OutcomeChance24h
10m-12m
39%▲ 6.0 pts
12m-14m
25%▼ 4.5 pts
8m-10m
23%▼ 5.0 pts
<8m
15%▲ 0.5 pts
16m+
6%▼ 5.0 pts
14m-16m
<1%▼ 11.9 pts

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to how much "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day second weekend (October 30 - November 1) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “"Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office”?

On Polymarket, traders currently price 10m-12m as the most likely outcome at 39% (as of 29 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 1 Nov 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

More culture markets

Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.

"Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office odds: 10m-12m 39% on Polymarket