Next Senate Majority Leader?
Live Polymarket oddsUpdated 22:22 UTCCloses 4 Nov 2026 (in 7 days)
Most likely: Chuck Schumer
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Chuck Schumer | 57% | ▲ 3.5 pts |
John Thune | 24% | ▲ 0.5 pts |
Brian Schatz | 7% | — |
Chris Van Hollen | 5% | ▲ 0.5 pts |
Tom Cotton | 4% | ▼ 1.6 pts |
John Barrasso | 2% | — |
Cory Booker | 2% | — |
Steve Daines | 1% | ▼ 0.1 pts |
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Next Senate Majority Leader”?
On Polymarket, traders currently price Chuck Schumer as the most likely outcome at 57% (as of 28 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 4 Nov 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Polymarket, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Polymarket and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.