Georgia governor race 2026 odds: Bottoms vs Jackson
Prediction markets make Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) the favourite in the Georgia governor's race, at 52% on Polymarket and 49% on Kalshi. A win would flip the governorship from Republicans to Democrats. That makes it one of the closest races on the map.
Odds updated just now · election day November 3
DKeisha Lance Bottoms
50%
Polymarket 52% · Kalshi 49%
RRick Jackson
50%
Polymarket 49% · Kalshi 51%
Democrats 50%Republicans 50%
Race facts
- Office
- Governor
- Held by
- Republicans
- Chance it flips
- 50%
- Platforms disagree by
- 3 pts
- Election day
- Nov 3, 2026
All candidates
Each platform’s price, scaled so its candidates add up to 100%, and the average.
- DKeisha Lance Bottoms52%49%50%
- RRick Jackson49%51%50%
More 2026 races
All 2026 races: Senate · governors · overview. How the odds work: how prediction markets work. Not financial advice.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
Keisha Lance Bottoms (Democratic), at 50% on average across Polymarket (52%) and Kalshi (49%).
Which party holds the governorship now?
Republicans. Markets give about a 50% chance it changes party in November.
When is the election?
Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 17 days from now. The markets resolve once the race is called or certified, according to each platform’s rules.
Why do Polymarket and Kalshi show different odds?
They are separate exchanges with different traders and fees, so the same candidate can trade a few points apart. When the gap is large, buying on the cheaper side can be an opportunity, as explained in our arbitrage guide.