Governors 2026
2026 governor races
Live odds for all 36 governor’s races, from Polymarket and Kalshi.
Odds updated 1 h ago
Closest governor races
Most likely to change party
- 1Iowa GovernorR → Dfavourite: Rob Sand87%to flip
- 2Alaska GovernorR → Dfavourite: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins78%to flip
- 3Kansas GovernorD → Rfavourite: Ty Masterson77%to flip
- 4Ohio GovernorR → Dfavourite: Amy Acton71%to flip
- 5Nevada GovernorR → Dfavourite: Aaron Ford56%to flip
- 6Georgia GovernorR → Dfavourite: Rick Jackson50%to flip
- 7Texas GovernorR → Dfavourite: Greg Abbott25%to flip
- 8Oregon GovernorD → Rfavourite: Tina Kotek24%to flip
Republican governors after the election
Number of Republican governors
Polymarket23%
32%
29%
12%
<2222–2324–2526–2728–2930–3132+
Every 2026 governor race
Closest races first.
RaceFavouritePolymarketKalshiChance it flips
- GAGeorgiaHeld by RepublicansRRick Jackson49%52%50%
- NVNevadaHeld by RepublicansDAaron Ford58%55%56%
- OHOhioHeld by RepublicansDAmy Acton72%70%71%
- TXTexasHeld by RepublicansRGreg Abbott75%75%25%
- OROregonHeld by DemocratsDTina Kotek76%75%24%
- VTVermontHeld by RepublicansRPhil Scott75%76%24%
- KSKansasHeld by DemocratsRTy Masterson77%—77%
- AKAlaskaHeld by RepublicansDJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins78%76%78%
- FLFloridaHeld by RepublicansRByron Donalds80%79%21%
- WIWisconsinHeld by DemocratsDDavid Crowley81%80%20%
- IAIowaHeld by RepublicansDRob Sand88%87%87%
- NENebraskaHeld by RepublicansRJim Pillen—88%12%
- OKOklahomaHeld by RepublicansRMike Mazzei90%88%11%
- AZArizonaHeld by DemocratsDKatie Hobbs92%89%10%
- TNTennesseeHeld by RepublicansRMarsha Blackburn—90%10%
- SCSouth CarolinaHeld by RepublicansRAlan Wilson—94%6%
- NMNew MexicoHeld by DemocratsDDeb Haaland94%93%6%
- NYNew YorkHeld by DemocratsDKathy Hochul95%93%6%
- MEMaineHeld by DemocratsDHannah Pingree95%92%6%
- MIMichiganHeld by DemocratsDJocelyn Benson95%94%6%
- ALAlabamaHeld by RepublicansRTommy Tuberville96%93%5%
- MNMinnesotaHeld by DemocratsDAmy Klobuchar95%94%5%
- NHNew HampshireHeld by RepublicansRKelly Ayotte95%—5%
- MAMassachusettsHeld by DemocratsDMaura Healey96%94%5%
- CACaliforniaHeld by DemocratsDXavier Becerra96%96%4%
- CTConnecticutHeld by DemocratsDNed Lamont—96%4%
- RIRhode IslandHeld by DemocratsDHelena Foulkes96%96%4%
- HIHawaiiHeld by DemocratsDJosh Green—97%3%
- COColoradoHeld by DemocratsDPhil Weiser—97%3%
- MDMarylandHeld by DemocratsDWes Moore98%97%3%
- ILIllinoisHeld by DemocratsDJB Pritzker—97%3%
- PAPennsylvaniaHeld by DemocratsDJosh Shapiro98%98%2%
- IDIdahoHeld by RepublicansRBrad Little98%98%2%
- WYWyomingHeld by RepublicansREric Barlow—98%2%
- ARArkansasHeld by RepublicansRSarah Huckabee Sanders—98%2%
- SDSouth DakotaHeld by RepublicansRLarry Rhoden98%99%1%
Frequently asked questions
How many governor races are there in 2026?
36 states elect a governor on November 3, 2026, including the big four of California, Florida, New York and Texas, and swing states such as Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Which 2026 governor races are closest?
By market odds: Georgia (50% for Rick Jackson); Nevada (56% for Aaron Ford); Ohio (71% for Amy Acton).
Which governorships could change party?
Markets see 5 governorships as more likely than not to change party; the full ranking is on this page.
Where do these odds come from?
From Polymarket and Kalshi, the two largest prediction markets. Where both list a race we show both prices and their average; odds refresh about every 10 minutes.