Kansas governor race 2026 odds: Masterson vs Holscher
Prediction markets make Ty Masterson (R) the favourite in the Kansas governor's race, at 76% on Polymarket. A win would flip the governorship from Democrats to Republicans.
Odds updated just now · election day November 3
RTy Masterson
76%
Polymarket 76% · Kalshi —
DCindy Holscher
24%
Polymarket 24% · Kalshi —
Democrats 24%Republicans 76%
Chance for each party, by platform
Race facts
- Office
- Governor
- Held by
- Democrats
- Chance it flips
- 76%
- Platforms disagree by
- —
- Election day
- Nov 3, 2026
All candidates
Each platform’s price, scaled so its candidates add up to 100%, and the average.
- RTy Masterson76%—76%
- DCindy Holscher24%—24%
More 2026 races
All 2026 races: Senate · governors · overview. How the odds work: how prediction markets work. Not financial advice.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
Ty Masterson (Republican), at 76% on average across Polymarket (76%) and Kalshi (—).
Which party holds the governorship now?
Democrats. Markets give about a 76% chance it changes party in November.
When is the election?
Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 17 days from now. The markets resolve once the race is called or certified, according to each platform’s rules.
Why do Polymarket and Kalshi show different odds?
They are separate exchanges with different traders and fees, so the same candidate can trade a few points apart. When the gap is large, buying on the cheaper side can be an opportunity, as explained in our arbitrage guide.