Ohio governor race 2026 odds: Acton vs Ramaswamy
Prediction markets make Amy Acton (D) the favourite in the Ohio governor's race, at 72% on Polymarket and 70% on Kalshi. A win would flip the governorship from Republicans to Democrats.
Odds updated 1 h ago · election day November 3
DAmy Acton
71%
Polymarket 72% · Kalshi 70%
RVivek Ramaswamy
29%
Polymarket 28% · Kalshi 30%
Democrats 71%Republicans 29%
Race facts
- Office
- Governor
- Held by
- Republicans
- Chance it flips
- 71%
- Platforms disagree by
- 1 pts
- Election day
- Nov 3, 2026
All candidates
Each platform’s price, scaled so its candidates add up to 100%, and the average.
- DAmy Acton72%70%71%
- RVivek Ramaswamy28%30%29%
More 2026 races
All 2026 races: Senate · governors · overview. How the odds work: how prediction markets work. Not financial advice.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Amy Acton (Democratic), at 71% on average across Polymarket (72%) and Kalshi (70%).
Which party holds the governorship now?
Republicans. Markets give about a 71% chance it changes party in November.
When is the election?
Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 17 days from now. The markets resolve once the race is called or certified, according to each platform’s rules.
Why do Polymarket and Kalshi show different odds?
They are separate exchanges with different traders and fees, so the same candidate can trade a few points apart. When the gap is large, buying on the cheaper side can be an opportunity, as explained in our arbitrage guide.