US labor force participation rate at year-end 2026
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 14:42 UTCCloses 8 Jan 2027 (in 2 mo)
Most likely: 61.5% to 61.9%
All outcomes (5)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
61.5% to 61.9% | 37% | — |
61.0% to 61.4% | 32% | — |
60.5% to 60.9% | 23% | — |
62.0% or Above | 10% | — |
Below 60.5% | 4% | — |
How this market resolves
If the US labor force participation rate for December 2026 is between 61.5% and 61.9%, as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by Trading Economics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “US labor force participation rate at year-end 2026”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price 61.5% to 61.9% as the most likely outcome at 37% (as of 29 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 8 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.