FRESH: First Week Streams
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 00:08 UTCCloses 15 Nov 2026 (in 24 days)
Most likely: Above 1M
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Above 1M | 99% | — |
Above 2M | 99% | — |
Above 3M | 99% | — |
Above 4M | 99% | — |
Above 5M | 99% | — |
Above 6M | 99% | — |
Above 8M | 98% | ▲ 1.0 pts |
Above 20M | 98% | — |
How this market resolves
If FRESH by Lil Baby has above 1M streams during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “FRESH: First Week Streams”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Above 1M as the most likely outcome at 99% (as of 23 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 15 Nov 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.