FIDE Blitz Top Chess Players: Top 5 Rated in December 2026
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 23:03 UTCCloses 7 Jan 2027 (in 57 days)
Most likely: Magnus Carlsen
All outcomes (8)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Magnus Carlsen | 98% | — |
Hikaru Nakamura | 97% | — |
Alireza Firouzja | 91% | — |
Nodirbek Abdusattorov | 87% | — |
Daniil Dubov | 86% | — |
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave | 14% | — |
Arjun Erigaisi | 13% | — |
Ian Nepomniachtchi | 10% | — |
How this market resolves
If Magnus Carlsen is rated top 5 on the December 2026 FIDE Blitz Top Players (top 100 players) Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “FIDE Blitz Top Chess Players: Top 5 Rated in December 2026”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Magnus Carlsen as the most likely outcome at 98% (as of 12 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 7 Jan 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.