Kalshi

DeepSeek market share this week

Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 04:59 UTCCloses 16 Nov 2026 (in 5 days)

Most likely: Above 27.8%

98%

Price over the last 7 days, in %

All outcomes (8)

Outcome	Chance	24h
Above 27.8%	98%	—
Above 29.2%	93%	▲ 3.0 pts
Above 29.9%	82%	▲ 13.0 pts
Above 30.3%	73%	—
Above 30.8%	68%	▲ 12.0 pts
Above 31.2%	59%	▲ 11.0 pts
Above 31.7%	33%	▼ 1.0 pts
Above 32.4%	21%	▼ 2.0 pts

How this market resolves

If DeepSeek scores above 27.8% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Questions about this market

What are the odds for “DeepSeek market share this week”?

On Kalshi, traders currently price Above 27.8% as the most likely outcome at 98% (as of 11 Nov 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.

What does the percentage mean?

A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.

When does this market resolve?

The scheduled close is 16 Nov 2026. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.

Where can I trade it?

On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesks does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.

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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesks is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.