Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 10:42 UTCCloses 1 Apr 2027 (in 5 mo)
Most likely: Before Apr 1, 2027
All outcomes (6)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Before Apr 1, 2027 | 45% | — |
Before Jan 1, 2027 | 30% | ▼ 1.0 pts |
Before Dec 1, 2026 | 24% | — |
Before Nov 1, 2026 | 6% | — |
Before Sep 18, 2026 | 2% | — |
Before Oct 1, 2026 | 1% | — |
How this market resolves
If Donald Trump publicly criticizes Kevin Warsh before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Before Apr 1, 2027 as the most likely outcome at 45% (as of 19 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Apr 2027. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
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Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.