Will the SAVE America Act become law?
Live Kalshi oddsUpdated 10:42 UTCCloses 1 Jan 2028 (in 15 mo)
Most likely: Before Jan 1, 2028
All outcomes (7)
| Outcome | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
Before Jan 1, 2028 | 14% | ▲ 7.0 pts |
Before Jul 1, 2027 | 8% | — |
Before Dec 1, 2026 | 3% | — |
Before Jan 1, 2027 | 2% | — |
Before Sep 1, 2026 | 1% | — |
Before Oct 1, 2026 | 1% | — |
Before Nov 1, 2026 | 1% | — |
How this market resolves
If legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Questions about this market
What are the odds for “Will the SAVE America Act become law”?
On Kalshi, traders currently price Before Jan 1, 2028 as the most likely outcome at 14% (as of 19 Oct 2026). The price of a share in cents is the market's implied probability.
What does the percentage mean?
A price of 62¢ means the market implies a 62% chance. A correct share pays $1 when the market resolves, an incorrect one pays nothing, so the price moves as traders update their expectations.
When does this market resolve?
The scheduled close is 1 Jan 2028. Markets can resolve earlier or later according to their rules, shown on this page.
Where can I trade it?
On Kalshi, where availability depends on your country. PredictDesk does not take bets: it shows live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
More elections markets
- PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election77%Flávio Bolsonaro
- PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?48%Gadi Eizenkot
- PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through...?96%October 22
- KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?90%Democratic Party
- KalshiWhat will Trump say this week?1%Cuba / Cuban
- Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?62%Democrats sweep
Latest elections news
- Inside the quiet money pullback — for both parties — in Georgia’s Senate race19 Oct 2026
- Texas election markets draw big money as lawmakers weigh oversight19 Oct 2026
- Polymarket bets favor Eisenkot over Netanyahu ahead of Israeli election19 Oct 2026
- Democrats’ Tejano star sings to swing South Texas18 Oct 2026
Odds are implied probabilities from Kalshi and change continuously; they may be delayed. PredictDesk is an information service, not a broker or exchange, and is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Nothing here is financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in your country.